Post by spoit on Jun 22, 2011 4:19:43 GMT -5
So, like I posted in the thread 7 people left. Probably 2 who are mafia. And who knows if there is even a ringo to get killed by Alegis via Darian.
Worst case scenario, we kill a villager with the vote, and the mafia hit the other 2 villagers, leaving it 2 v 2, probably a mafia auto-win, depending on tie resolution mechanics (and self guard mechanics).
If they do have a reliable 2 kills, even with Alegis dead. Infidel, what do you think the odds are that they'd go fishing with one of them on you, now that indfidel is dead?
I personally think the odds are pretty high, and if they do target both of us, I personally think keeping you alive might be give the village a better chance given how suspicious I am. In that scenario, hopefully we'd block a kill, leaving it at 3 v 2, worst case...which would be a mafia win, even if you peg both of them
But speaking in terms of less gloomy possibilities, say we hit a mafia tonight. Then, at worst, it's 3v1, which is still distinctly winnable, in which case, your superior reasoning skills and not being suspicious would be more valuable than my self guard?
Hmm, how silly an idea would it be to have you giving a post vote close (or given how inactive this game is, and how quickly rend posts narrations, close to day end) reveal that I was seered as a guard? To (hopefully) keep me from being wagoned if it comes down to another day.
EDIT: actually, that might not be a bad gambit, if we can get them to try to target me and waste a kill. Maybe if we claim I'm some other other role that would prevent a straight out mafia victory, like a vote manipulator or something?
Worst case scenario, we kill a villager with the vote, and the mafia hit the other 2 villagers, leaving it 2 v 2, probably a mafia auto-win, depending on tie resolution mechanics (and self guard mechanics).
If they do have a reliable 2 kills, even with Alegis dead. Infidel, what do you think the odds are that they'd go fishing with one of them on you, now that indfidel is dead?
I personally think the odds are pretty high, and if they do target both of us, I personally think keeping you alive might be give the village a better chance given how suspicious I am. In that scenario, hopefully we'd block a kill, leaving it at 3 v 2, worst case...which would be a mafia win, even if you peg both of them
But speaking in terms of less gloomy possibilities, say we hit a mafia tonight. Then, at worst, it's 3v1, which is still distinctly winnable, in which case, your superior reasoning skills and not being suspicious would be more valuable than my self guard?
Hmm, how silly an idea would it be to have you giving a post vote close (or given how inactive this game is, and how quickly rend posts narrations, close to day end) reveal that I was seered as a guard? To (hopefully) keep me from being wagoned if it comes down to another day.
EDIT: actually, that might not be a bad gambit, if we can get them to try to target me and waste a kill. Maybe if we claim I'm some other other role that would prevent a straight out mafia victory, like a vote manipulator or something?